A simple average of the five most recent opinion polls shows that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) are locked in a dead heat in the 2015 Delhi state election, with a projected 40% share of the vote each. There is considerable variation among the five polls in terms of the …
Tag: Aam Aadmi Party
Is AAP India’s most criminal party?
With candidates declared for six of the nine rounds of voting in this never-ending general election, a partial analysis can now be done of how many stand accused of criminal activity and in what proportion parties are awarding tickets to such folks (data from National Election Watch, also see preliminary analysis here). The chart below …
Rush to judgement
The Association of Democratic Reforms has analysed 280 of 469 Lok Sabha candidates announced by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC) and discovered that: https://twitter.com/ndtvvideos/status/447209053744549888 The data do not seem to be up as yet on the ADR website, so here is quick breakdown by party using the numbers quoted …
Political parties’ Facebook activity
In response to my post on Political parties' Facebook "likes", Pragya Tiwari correctly pointed out that an additional flaw in that measure is the likelihood that parties and politicians purchase "likes", and that people "talking about this" might be a less manipulable figure. So here is some data (an evening's snapshot on Mar 1): https://twitter.com/dubeyamitabh/status/439781308999282689 …
Political parties’ Facebook “likes”
This measure of political party support has some obvious limitations (viz. self-selection and an upper-income/urban/education bias) but is still, I think, worth noting, especially the Aam Aadmi Party's strong performance. https://twitter.com/dubeyamitabh/status/437635383233224704
Chunauti 