If women alone were to vote in the current elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would win 88 more Lok Sabha seats than the Indian National Congress (INC) (using CSDS data -- see Table 3a). If only men voted, the BJP would get 126 more seats than the INC (if we stubbornly assume a constant …
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No obvious correlation between turnout and anti-incumbency
Voter turnout in the first three rounds of India's general election has shown a distinct increase by historical standards, particularly in some of the more populous states. https://twitter.com/MilanV/status/454435873321263104 This has given rise to speculation that this is bad news for the incumbent United Progressive Alliance (UPA). https://twitter.com/cvoter/status/454517133767372800 The UPA is clearly trailing in opinion polls, …
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